Thursday, July 17, 2025

Lumber market chaos: ‘I’ve by no means seen something like this’

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“I believe it’s going to decelerate demand and I can’t think about it’s going to trigger [mortgage rates] to go decrease,” Taylor mentioned. “The specter of inflation goes to be looming due to larger costs and so, it appears to me that every part’s going to be in chaos and it’s acquired to regulate.

“We’re in all probability higher mortgage rates within the brief time period due to that inflation… after which I believe demand goes to be tender, provide goes to be disrupted, and ultimately we’ll get right into a smoother transition. However I might say some market chaos as this factor unfolds [is coming].”

Whereas the tariffs are partly meant to convey corporations again to the US and encourage holding jobs native, it stays to be seen whether or not the US development business can swiftly pivot to home lumber manufacturing and provide if these levies come into play.

“Can the US improve manufacturing marginally? Sure, however they don’t have numerous surplus expert staff,” Taylor mentioned. “They must get further capability for logging and logging vans. In order that’s all going to take time they usually received’t have the ability to reply in a short time – they usually received’t have the ability to reply till they know if the tariffs are in or out. So it’s simply chaos – like nothing I’ve ever seen in my profession.”

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