Saturday, January 31, 2026

Midterm elections, inflation, and AI: Why 2026 might be extra chaotic than 2025

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“You’ve the Democrats who’ve appeared to have discovered the lane arguing this affordability idea,” Hornik stated. “You had the Democrats sweep in New York Metropolis, the New Jersey governorship, and Virginia, in order that’s going to overlay every part happening.”

One other main second in 2025 was the federal government shutdown, which was the longest in US historical past. Whereas it was lastly resolved, it was solely pushed forward till January. One other shutdown might be coming in January, doubtlessly impacting the spring homebuying season if shoppers are hesitant amid the uncertainty.

The Federal Reserve will see changes within the first half of 2026. There’ll possible be a brand new Fed chair, as Jerome Powell’s time period as chair ends in Might. The following Fed chair will possible attempt to decrease charges, however Hornik warns that would come at the price of elevated inflation.

“You are going to have a brand new Fed chair who’s going to be aligned with the President’s philosophy, decrease charges, decrease charges, decrease charges,” Hornik stated. “In order that’s going to occur. After which you are going to see how the financial system, how the general public responds to the stickiness of inflation, and the way it stays increased.

“I acquired lots of buddies, individuals who I work with, and I do know that they are saying they’re selecting to not exit to eat now. They’re going to the grocery retailer, they usually’re selecting cheaper manufacturers. Now, often that is not one thing they do, however they’re feeling it, so salaries aren’t maintaining with costs, which is one thing we will need to get our palms round.”



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